Friday, November 4, 2022

GOP Goes Into Election With Healthy Poll Boost

Four days ahead of Election Day, Republicans have a five-point lead in their bid to recapture control of Congress. This is important because it is the last generic ballot poll before the election. Also, the relatively large six percent that say they are not sure are likely to break for Republicans as those not affiliated with either party have been breaking heavily for the GOP in other polls and this figure could be inflated with people who are leaning Republican but don't want to say it. This is not unusual.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that, if the elections for Congress were held today, 48% of likely voters would vote for the Republican candidate, while 43% would vote for the Democrat. Just three percent (3%) would vote for some other candidate, but another six percent (6%) are not sure. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

One final thought: Republicans have never lost the lead in this generic ballot question through this entire cycle leading up to the midterms. The spread has varied but the trend toward the GOP has been constant. That's significant!

And don't forget this: todays Rasmussen poll has Biden's favorables at a low 42% with 56% disapproving of the job Biden's doing. Biden is a drag on everyone -- on all Democrats, everywhere!


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