Wednesday, January 3, 2024

Bad News For Biden In Latest Poll!

Biden now trails President Trump in the latest USA Today/Suffolk University poll with Trump at 39%, Biden at 37% and a significant 17% supporting third party candidates. Biden has lost significant ground among key groups that he will need to win. Here's an excerpt from the USA Today story:

"Biden now claims the support of just 63% of Black voters, a precipitous decline from the 87% he carried in 2020, according to the Roper Center. He trails among Hispanic voters by 5 percentage points, 39%-34%; in 2020 he had swamped Trump among that demographic group 2 to 1, 65%-32%. 

"And among voters under 35, a generation largely at odds with the GOP on issues such as abortion access and climate change, Trump now leads 37%-33%. Younger voters overwhelmingly backed Biden in 2020."

Of course, there is an upside here for Biden and it is that the core voters he's losing are mostly drifting to unnamed third party candidates and not to President Trump. History shows that as the election draws closer, many of those wayward voters leave third party candidates and come home to the parties they left. Also, if the economy continues to improve, that homecoming will likely accelerate. The downside for Biden in this poll is that his voters are far less enthusiastic about him than Trump's voters are about President Trump. Trump's base -- his core -- remains solid.

 

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