Here are some excerpts from a very revealing Forbes story about recent polls:
"Polls consistently show Trump leads Biden in most of the seven crucial swing states that will likely decide the election—Arizona, Michigan, Wisconsin, Nevada, Georgia, North Carolina and Pennsylvania—all of which Biden won narrowly in 2020 with the exception of North Carolina.
"A May Cook Political Report survey found Trump up by three points in the seven states, a May Bloomberg/Morning Consult poll found Trump leads Biden by four points overall across the battleground states, and an April New York Times/Siena/Philadelphia Inquirer poll found Trump would beat Biden in five of six swing states (Pennsylvania, Arizona, Michigan, Georgia and Nevada), with the exception of Wisconsin. . . .
"A Harvard Youth poll released in April found Biden leads Trump by eight percentage points among people ages 18 to 29, compared to a 23-point margin at that point in the lead-up to the 2020 election. An April Axios/Ipsos poll shows Biden had only a nine-point advantage with Latino voters, compared to 29 points after his first year in office. And a recent Wall Street Journal survey found more Black voters said they were leaning toward Trump than they did in 2020, including 30% of Black men (12% of Black men voted for Trump in 2020, according to AP VoteCast), and 11% of Black women (6% of Black women voted for Trump in 2020)."
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