Dan Cirucci: Polling Expert: Biden 'Win' Metrics Don't Compute

Monday, December 7, 2020

Polling Expert: Biden 'Win' Metrics Don't Compute

Patrick Basham with @marklevinshow: A #Biden victory 'not statistically impossible, but ... statistically implausible' pic.twitter.com/Xj30K00G9e
— Mr Producer (@RichSementa) December 6, 2020

Noted pollster Patrick Basham claims that Biden's victory defied crucial "metrics" that have a "100% accuracy rate in predicting the winner" and says anyone who viewed the results 'objectively' would conclude Trump triumphed.

Basham, founding director of the Democracy Institute, said Biden's victory of Trump was "not statistically impossible, but it's statistically implausible." He told Mark Levin of Fox News that with the election results, "something very strange has happened because the numbers just don't add up."

Some excerpts from the Daily Mail story:

Basham noted that Trump's loss came after he performed better in several pivotal voting metrics compared to 2016. "If you look at the results, you see how Donald Trump improved his national performance over 2016 by almost 20 per cent." said Basham. "No incumbent president has ever lost a reelection bid if he's increased his votes [total]. Obama went down by three and a half million votes between 2008 and 2012, but still won comfortably."

Basham noted that Trump gained ground with minorities, Catholics and other groups. "If you look at those results, you see that Donald Trump did very well, even better than four years earlier, with the white working class," Basham said. "He held his own with women and suburban voters against all of most of the polling expectations, did very well with Catholics, improved his vote among Jewish voters. He had the best minority performance for a Republican since Richard Nixon in 1960, doing so well with African-Americans, and importantly with Hispanics."

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About Dan Cirucci

He's been cited by the late Rush Limbaugh, quoted in the New York Times, featured at Real Clear Politics and Lucianne.com and interviewed across all media.

He's Dan Cirucci, the founder and editor-in chief of the Dan Cirucci Blog, a Save Jersey blog columnist, frequent guest on the Matt Rooney radio show and one of the most widely honored public relations professionals in his field. He's also been a public relations consultant to numerous organizations and individuals and hosted The Advocates on RVN-TV.

Inducted into the Philadelphia Public Relations Hall of Fame, for many years he served as a Lecturer in Corporate Communication at Penn State University. A former President of the Philadelphia Public Relations Association (PPRA) he has lectured at Rowan University, Temple University, The College of New Jersey and Arcadia University. He has conducted workshops on public relations for thousands of participants throughout the nation and has taught countless others the art of public speaking. He has also advised numerous lawyers, judges, public officials and political candidates.

Cirucci is a prolific writer and his op-ed pieces have appeared in the Philadelphia Daily News, Philadelphia Inquirer, Courier-Post, Broad and Liberty and other print and online platforms.

A native of Camden NJ, Cirucci is a former President of the Philadelphia chapter of the International Association of Business Communicators. Cirucci served as Associate Executive Director of the Philadelphia Bar Association for nearly 30 years. He served as Chair of Penn State University's Professional Advisory Board for the Corporate Communication major at Penn State Abington and on the Pennsylvania Bar Association's Judicial Selection Commission.

He received his MA degree from Rowan University and his BA from Villanova University. He has been named a Distinguished Alumnus of Rowan's public relations program and received the E. A. "Wally" Richter Leadership Award, the highest honor from the National Association of Bar Executives' Communications Section. He has also been honored by numerous other local, state and national groups.

In his hometown of Camden, Cirucci taught fifth grade at the Ulysses Wiggins Elementary School named for the founder of the Camden NAACP. There he was one of the first teachers in the country to teach African-American history to inner city students. He later served as editor of a local weekly newspaper, as Assistant to the Township Manager of Cherry Hill Township and as Associate Director of Communications at the New Jersey State Bar Association.

Cirucci's passions include all things Italian, politics, the popular culture, books and authors, art, communication, music, theatre, movies, dining and travel.

He and his wife Carole have two grown children and seven grandchildren.

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