Model Showed A Trump Win; What's It Say NOW?

Remember the political science professor who came forward in February with a prognosticating model that virtually guaranteed a Trump victory in November?

Stony Brook University's Dr. Helmut Norpoth has reportedly claimed that the model he uses (tied to election cycles) has correctly called the results of every election except for one in the last 104 years. Th exception was 1960 when Kennedy defeated Nixon by an eyelash.

Earlier this year, based on that model, Dr. Norpoth said there was a 97 to 99 percent chance Trump would be the next President of the United States.

But we hadn't heard much from the good professor since then. Yes, there was a burst of national (and even international) news about the model's prediction when the story first emerged but since then, crickets.

So, we asked Dr. Norpoth "Does your prediction still hold. What does the model predict right now, today?"

And here's his answer:

"I am stuck on Trump with 87% certainty. Come hell or high water. My model may self-destruct but it is not for updating."

So, you heard it here first. An 87% chance (slightly down from that all-but-certain 97-99%) that Trump will win. Those are still damned good odds.

And, should the model "self-destruct," well it won't be the first thing to self-destruct this year and it may not be the last.

Fasten your seatbelt, everybody! We ain't seen the end of the tumult.

The Very Definition Of The Word . . . .

Yes, there's far too much of it everywhere.
But a large portion resides within the realm of these two. Their tentacles are everywhere -- and they never, ever get enough.

Madam, You Had Your Say; Now Here's Your Answer

Statement from Donald J. Trump:

I have built a tremendously successful business, which has created tens of thousands of jobs.
Out of the hundreds of businesses I have owned over the decades, and hundreds of deals and transactions, I have used the chapter laws of our country in four instances, much as many of our country’s elite business people do (but nobody cares about). It is an effective and commonly used practice in business to use bankruptcy proceedings to restructure a business and ultimately save jobs.
Nobody understands the economy like I do and no one, especially not Crooked Hillary Clinton, will do more for the economy than I will.
I want to bring jobs back to America, while Hillary Clinton wants to get elected to enrich herself with power at the expense of the people. I created thousands of jobs and made a lot of money in Atlantic City, which was what, as a businessman, I am supposed to do for my company and my family– and as President I will make America rich again, and Make America Great Again.

WOW! You Don't Wanna Miss This Offer!

Revealed: Washington's Two Biggest Bedwetters!

Roberts: It's not a tax but it is a tax.


Comey: She broke the law but she didn't break the law.

And So Now, Here They Are: The TOP FIVE!

Oh, My! Have We Really Fallen THIS Far?

Now I Guess We Know What That Was All About

So, Where DOES He Stand On This Critical Issue?

Ahead of today’s vote in the U.S. Senate on Sen. Pat Toomey’s legislation to strip sanctuary cities of their federal funding, the Republican Attorneys General Association (RAGA) is calling on Josh Shapiro to state his position on the bill and Philadelphia’s status as a sanctuary city. "Despite having virtually no qualifications for the office he seeks, Josh Shapiro refuses to share his views on crucial law enforcement issues,” said Scott Will, Executive Director of RAGA. “What we do know is Josh Shapiro voted against cracking down on illegal immigration and backs Katie McGinty, a pro-sanctuary cities candidate, for Senate. McGinty also supports Philadelphia Mayor John Kenney’s refusal to cooperate with federal immigration enforcement officials and opposes Senator Toomey’s bill. Voters deserve to know where Josh Shapiro stands, and why he has been silent for so long.” Fact Sheet: Mayor John Kenney Reinstituted Sanctuary City Policy: “As one of his first acts in office in January, Kenney reinstituted the city policy that bars police and prison officials from telling U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement agents about the pending releases from detention of undocumented prisoners, unless a prisoner was previously convicted of a violent felony and ICE has a warrant…Pressed for an opinion on Kenney's policy, McGinty said she was not "rejecting" it…” – Philadelphia Inquirer – 7/5/16 Hiring Undocumented Workers – Key Vote Josh Shapiro Voted Nay – votesmart.org – 11/15/11

Yeah, It Seems That's Exactly What Happened