Polling Average - Key swing states: • Georgia: Trump +5.0 • Arizona: Trump +4.1 • Nevada: Trump +3.5 • Michigan: Trump +2.6 • Pennsylvania: Trump +2.2 • Wisconsin: Trump +1.3 — odds Trump 52% (+13) Biden 39% — EC based on state polls Trump 312 (+87) Biden 225
And look at the Electoral College matchup (with 270 needed to win) as it stands right now:
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