All of the Oscar favorites tonight really are likely winners.
Melissa Leo seems a cinch to grab the Best Supporting Actress Oscar for The Fighter.
And, also from The Fighter, Christian Bale is a sure bet as Best Supporting Actor.
It's hard to see how the Oscar will be denied to Colin Firth for Best Actor for The King's Speech as he has won every other major award.
And everyone seems to agree that Natalie Portman will win for Swan Lake.
If there are upsets tonight, there will be two, at most: Annette Bening may win for The Kids Are All Right, thus besting Natalie Portman. Bening is overdue for an Oscar. And, director David Fincher may win for The Social Network and top Tom Hooper for The King's Speech.
But after all is said and done, many feel it will be a night for the favorites, across the broad -- no surprises.
BTW: I'm delighted that the Academy has chosen two young, vibrant, attractive hosts: Anne Hathaway and James Franco. I love them both. And yes, I'll be watching.