Saturday, September 29, 2018

Can You Be 100% Certain And . . . WRONG?

The following is from a very informative interview with a cognitive psychologist posted at via AFP News Service  Pay attention!
Q: Does it make a difference if someone says they are 100 percent sure?
A: "Sometimes people are very, very certain and wrong. In DNA exonerations, you will find many instances where people start out being uncertain... they'll look at some photos and say, 'Well, that one looks the closest, I guess.'
"But by the time they get to trial, they've become vastly more certain, and therefore more persuasive.
"So you see in these cases how someone who is now very certain, was once not so certain. In those cases, we need to ask what made them become so certain."
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